Alternative Radio tonight just aired a talk by Bill McKibben, whose latest book "Deep Economy" talks about people's blind zeal towards growth and its consequences on the environment, such as global warming.
According to Bill, it would triple the world's demand on fuel if Chinese were to reach the level of car ownership as the American currently have. Since the world's fuel supply wouldn't possibly triple (it can barely keeps at its current level) in the foreseeable future, Chinese have to go through another route for developing.
Since those projections are based on widely known statistics, the Chinese leaders must have been aware of it long time ago. That been said, why they still promoting the growth path of developing private cars is beyond my understanding.
Anyway, it's predicted that we will run out of fuel by 2030 or even sooner. Although we could die from global warming before 2030, I still can't help speculate how people would react to this prediction.
It reminds me of the movie 《Japan Sinks》. Only this time, there is no smart decisive solution that could turn things around, like that in the movie.
I think people will become more greedy knowing that the days of abundant energy will end. Instead of seeking alternatives, those in power will mobilize the majority into wars to seize the last drop of oil. The world will become a living hell like that depicted in the movie 《child of men》.
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